Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.546955 3.768682 4.006216 4.281238 4.593007 4.938050 5.352488
2025-03-16 3.103142 3.380831 3.692924 4.074409 4.535016 5.082812 5.799343
2025-03-23 2.859144 3.182287 3.560951 4.047253 4.671059 5.469480 6.616691
2025-03-30 2.640901 2.990107 3.413487 3.980496 4.748066 5.800994 7.466309
2025-04-06 2.441769 2.802299 3.251526 3.874434 4.757844 6.048778 8.293400
2025-04-13 2.254171 2.613402 3.070402 3.721502 4.680222 6.158181 8.959509
2025-04-20 2.161491 2.538067 3.029932 3.755903 4.880453 6.751065 10.805266
2025-04-27 2.084549 2.476832 3.002079 3.804298 5.112157 7.472909 13.490158
2025-05-04 2.033556 2.445888 3.012479 3.910293 5.460594 8.549016 18.445057
2025-05-11 1.966493 2.387722 2.978447 3.942753 5.690457 9.498009 25.193091
2025-05-18 1.891965 2.314008 2.915305 3.920296 5.815641 10.282246 34.490491
2025-05-25 1.798404 2.207941 2.796282 3.792054 5.711228 10.442264 41.448409
2025-06-01 1.723786 2.130724 2.724115 3.751709 5.814208 11.369955 71.046179
2025-06-08 1.636583 2.031005 2.611239 3.629957 5.726367 11.709861 116.267910
2025-06-15 1.585924 1.982191 2.574456 3.640755 5.940597 13.316053 NaN
2025-06-22 1.530921 1.923993 2.518780 3.611169 6.059813 14.776304 NaN
2025-06-29 1.472478 1.857749 2.445874 3.541652 6.068940 15.846688 NaN
2025-07-06 1.409659 1.782146 2.353406 3.425966 5.938369 16.133916 NaN
2025-07-13 1.380915 1.756894 2.341888 3.467058 6.237848 19.536414 NaN
2025-07-20 1.355805 1.735812 2.335667 3.518157 6.588946 24.725382 NaN
2025-07-27 1.340084 1.728331 2.351711 3.617581 7.133246 35.896479 NaN
2025-08-03 1.314881 1.704600 2.337935 3.651912 7.491717 50.895506 NaN
2025-08-10 1.284040 1.670486 2.303717 3.637242 7.679736 69.534401 NaN